Published: Mon, June 19, 2017
Global | By Maureen Mccoy

Disturbance to reach the Gulf of Mexico; chance of development increases

Disturbance to reach the Gulf of Mexico; chance of development increases

Seas are expected to be very rough with wave heights of 7 to 9 feet with possible swells on the on the south coast.

Unfortunately little has changed in regards to Invest 93-L now in the Western Caribbean.

As of Saturday afternoon we are still watching a broad area of unorganized showers in the Gulf of Honduras.

There's a good chance a tropical cyclone could develop in the Gulf of Mexico this week, but Harrison County Emergency Manager Rupert Lacy said there's still a lot of uncertainty with the system.

While forecast models are fairly uniformed on the development of a weak system, where it goes is still much less certain.

The NHC adds the US Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate this area on Sunday, if necessary.

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A second tropical wave continued to track westward across the central Atlantic on Sunday morning and may get its own visit from the Hurricane Hunters on Monday.

Forecast models have gone into 2 distinct "camps" when it comes to track.

The system may take shape over the central Gulf of Mexico and be pulled northward to the central Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle to Louisiana.

The disturbance is expected to continue to develop as it moves northwest across the Yucatan Peninsula. The strength of the system & positioning of two strong upper level high pressure areas will likely ultimately decide the path.

Happy Sunday! I'm Meteorologist Ric Kearbey trackng Father's Day storm chances.

This image is a blend of model data that is suggesting a decent probability of deep tropical moisture to occur over the northeast Gulf of Mexico sometime early next week. It is extremely rare for anything to develop east of the Caribbean in June.

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