Published: Tue, April 25, 2017
Global | By Maureen Mccoy

General election 2017: Plaid Cymru launches campaign


Plaid Cymru (13%) are expected to hold onto their three seats, while the Welsh Liberal Democrats (8%) retain Ceredigion.

The Tories have increased their support by 12 points of support from January whilst Labour has dropped three.

Their surprise 10-point lead points to Labour MPs" worst fears that the "Corbyn effect' is combining with May's growing popularity to radically slash the party's support.

The online poll, for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University's Wales Governance Centre, had a sample of 1,029 Welsh adults and was carried out by YouGov from 19-21 April 2017.

"The Conservatives have not won a majority of Welsh seats at a general election since the 1850s - before the era of mass democracy", he said.

A leading professor in political science has said the election in June could result in an "unprecedented" result in Wales after a poll shows the Tories have edged ahead of Labour.

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The ten seats that the Tories are projected to pick up from Labour are: Ynys Mon, Alyn and Deeside, Bridgend, Cardiff South and Penarth, Cardiff West, Clwyd South, Delyn, Newport East, Newport West and Wrexham.

Analysts claim that the main reason for the Tory rise is the collapse of the UKIP vote, with 62% of 2015 UKIP voters now saying they will move to the Conservatives. The poll put support for UKIP on 6 percent, down 7 points.

He added: "But even if this continues to be a difficult election overall for the party, their local campaigners and sitting MPs seeking re-election will be hoping that their hard work will enable them to buck what now appear to be the national trends".

Figures show UKIP supporters flocking to the Conservatives and knocking Labour into second place.

Labour is in government in Wales where Carwyn Jones, first minister, has struck a sceptical tone on Jeremy Corbyn.

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